Lesson 30 of 42 · Reading comprehension

Economic passages with figures

Read GDP, deficit and inflation figures correctly: rates against levels, deficit against debt, nominal against real, and points against percent.

About 22 minutes

In this lesson

  • Use the economic terms that passages rely on without confusing related quantities.
  • Turn nominal figures into approximate real ones, and compound rates over several years.
  • Check a numerical claim in an option against the passage’s figures by hand.

The idea

Why the vocabulary matters

Bocconi describes the passages in the reading area as involving economic topics, for example GDP, the deficit and inflation, and says they may contain numbers and data. You are not tested on economics as a subject, but a passage can only be read correctly if its terms are understood correctly, and several everyday words mean something precise in economics. Most wrong answers on data-rich passages come from treating two related quantities as if they were the same.

Terms that are easy to confuse

Term What it measures Easily confused with
GDP The value of everything an economy produces in a period GDP per person (GDP divided by population)
Nominal Measured at the prices of the time Real: adjusted for changes in prices
Inflation rate How fast prices are rising The price level itself
Deficit How much more a government spends than it collects in one year (a flow) Debt: the total owed, built up over many years (a stock)
"% of GDP" An amount divided by GDP The amount itself
Share A part as a fraction of a total The size of the part

Falling inflation is not falling prices

If inflation falls from 6% to 3%, prices are still rising, only more slowly. Prices fall only when inflation is negative. An option such as "prices fell in 2024", after a passage reporting that inflation fell to 3%, reads a rate as if it were a level.

Deficits add to debt

A deficit is the gap in one year; the debt is the stock it adds to. A government can cut its deficit sharply and still see its debt rise, because a smaller deficit is still new borrowing. Whether the debt ratio (debt divided by GDP) rises is a separate question: it also depends on how fast GDP grows.

Nominal and real

Nominal figures include the effect of rising prices; real figures remove it. For small rates, a good approximation is:

real growth≈nominal growth−inflation\text{real growth} \approx \text{nominal growth} - \text{inflation}

Nominal GDP up 5% with inflation at 3% means real GDP up about 2%. The same rule applies to wages: a 4% pay rise with 6% inflation is a fall in real wages of about 2%. The exact calculation divides the multipliers (1.051.03≈1.019\frac{1.05}{1.03} \approx 1.019), but the approximation is almost always enough to choose an option.

Percentage points and percent

When the figure is itself a rate or a ratio, a change can be reported two ways. Unemployment rising from 8% to 10% is a rise of 2 percentage points, and a rise of 25% in the rate. Debt rising from 60% to 66% of GDP is a rise of 6 points, or of one tenth. Read which one the question asks for.

Rates compound

Inflation of 9%, then 5%, then 3% does not add up to 17% over three years. Each year's rise is taken on a higher price level, so the yearly multipliers are multiplied: 1.09×1.05×1.03≈1.1791.09 \times 1.05 \times 1.03 \approx 1.179, a rise of about 17.9%. When an option claims a cumulative figure that is a plain sum of yearly rates, be suspicious.

Reading the passage with the data in mind

  • On the first read, note which quantities are given and in which unit: percent of GDP, euros, percentage growth, index points.
  • When two parties argue about the same figures, check whether they measure the same thing over the same period. Often both are right about different things: one about a single year, the other about a cumulative total.
  • Before choosing an option that makes a numerical claim, do the arithmetic, even roughly. Calculators are not allowed on the test, so practise the multiplications by hand.

Worked examples

Example 1: Inflation fell. Did prices?

In Norland, consumer price inflation fell from 6% in 2023 to 3% in 2024.

Which statement follows? (1) Consumer prices were lower at the end of 2024 than at the end of 2023. (2) Consumer prices were higher at the end of 2024 than at the end of 2023. (3) Consumer prices rose by 3 percentage points less in 2024 than in 2023, so they were 3% lower.

  1. Name the quantity: inflation is the rate at which prices rise, not the price level.

  2. An inflation rate of 3% in 2024 means prices rose by 3% during 2024. A positive rate means prices went up.

  3. Statement 1 reads the fall in the rate as a fall in prices. Statement 3 does the same with the numbers: the rate fell by 3 points, but prices still rose by 3%.

Answer

Statement 2: prices were higher at the end of 2024, about 3% higher than a year earlier. Prices rose more slowly; they did not fall.

Example 2: A deficit, yet a steady debt ratio

A government starts the year with debt of €500 billion, and GDP is €1,000 billion. During the year it runs a deficit of €20 billion, covered entirely by new borrowing, and nominal GDP grows by 4%. What happens to the debt and to the debt-to-GDP ratio?

  1. The deficit is new borrowing, so the debt rises: 500+20=520500 + 20 = 520 billion euros.

  2. GDP grows by 4%: 1,000×1.04=1,0401{,}000 \times 1.04 = 1{,}040 billion euros.

  3. Ratio before: 5001,000=50%\frac{500}{1{,}000} = 50\%. Ratio after: 5201,040=50%\frac{520}{1{,}040} = 50\%.

  4. Check by growth rates: debt grew by 20500=4%\frac{20}{500} = 4\%, exactly as fast as GDP, so the ratio cannot change.

Answer

The debt rises to €520 billion, but the debt ratio stays at 50% of GDP. "The ratio must rise because there was a deficit" is the tempting wrong conclusion: the ratio also depends on the growth of GDP.

Example 3: A pay rise that is a pay cut

Average nominal wages rise by 3% in a year in which inflation is 5%. What happened to real wages?

  1. Use the approximation: real change ≈3%−5%=−2%\approx 3\% - 5\% = -2\%.

  2. Check exactly with multipliers: 1.031.05≈0.981\frac{1.03}{1.05} \approx 0.981, a fall of about 1.9%.

  3. Both routes agree: wages buy about 2% less than a year earlier.

Answer

Real wages fell by about 2%. "Wages rose by 3%" is true only in nominal terms; it is the tempting wrong answer when a question asks about purchasing power.

Common traps

  • Reading a rate as a level

    "Inflation fell" is read as "prices fell"; "growth slowed" is read as "the economy shrank". A falling positive rate still means a rising level. Ask whether the figure is a level or a rate of change before you judge an option.

  • Deficit for debt

    A falling deficit is taken to mean a falling debt. As long as there is any deficit, the debt rises. Keep the flow (one year's gap) apart from the stock (the total owed).

  • Nominal for real

    A wage or GDP figure that rose in euros is taken as a rise in what it can buy. Subtract inflation (approximately) before deciding whether anything rose in real terms.

  • Adding yearly rates

    Three years of 9%, 5% and 3% inflation give about 17.9%, not 17%, because each rise applies to a higher level. Multiply the multipliers when an option states a cumulative figure.

  • Points for percent

    A ratio moving from 60% to 66% of GDP has risen by 6 points and by 10%. Options often include both numbers; read which the question asks for.

Check yourself

Answer each question before you open its answer.

Question 1: What happened to prices?

Reading comprehension

Between 2022 and 2024, the economy of Estria went through a sharp swing in prices. Consumer price inflation, which had been 2% in 2021, reached 9% in 2022 before easing to 5% in 2023 and 3% in 2024. The central bank raised its policy rate from 1% at the start of 2022 to 6% by the middle of 2023, and has held it there since.

Nominal GDP grew by 11% in 2022 and by 6% in 2023. The government's deficit fell from 5% of GDP in 2022 to 3% in 2023, partly because tax revenue, which is collected on nominal incomes and spending, rose faster than the government had budgeted. Public debt stood at 70% of GDP at the end of 2023.

Wages have lagged behind. Average nominal wages rose by 4% in 2022 and by 6% in 2023. Unions argue that workers have not yet recovered the purchasing power they lost, and point to the gap between the cumulative rise in prices and the cumulative rise in wages since the end of 2021. The finance ministry replies that in 2023 wage growth outpaced inflation.

Which statement about consumer prices in Estria is supported by the passage?

  1. A.Prices rose in every year from 2021 to 2024.
  2. B.Prices fell in 2023 and in 2024.
  3. C.Prices at the end of 2024 were lower than at the end of 2022.
  4. D.Prices rose by exactly 17% over 2022, 2023 and 2024 together.
Show the answer

Answer: A. Prices rose in every year from 2021 to 2024.

Working

The passage gives inflation of 2% (2021), 9% (2022), 5% (2023) and 3% (2024). Every rate is positive, so prices rose in every one of those years. The rate fell after 2022, but a lower positive rate is slower growth of prices, not a fall. The cumulative rise over the last three years is 1.09×1.05×1.03≈1.1791.09 \times 1.05 \times 1.03 \approx 1.179, about 17.9%, not exactly 17%.

Why the other options are wrong

  • B. Inflation fell in those years, from 9% to 5% to 3%, but positive inflation means prices still rose.
  • C. Reads the falling inflation rate as a falling price level. With inflation of 5% and then 3%, prices kept rising after 2022.
  • D. Adds the yearly rates. Compounded, 1.09×1.05×1.03≈1.1791.09 \times 1.05 \times 1.03 \approx 1.179, a rise of about 17.9%.

What carries over

A positive inflation rate always means rising prices; only a negative rate means falling prices.

Question 2: Real wages in 2023

Reading comprehension

Between 2022 and 2024, the economy of Estria went through a sharp swing in prices. Consumer price inflation, which had been 2% in 2021, reached 9% in 2022 before easing to 5% in 2023 and 3% in 2024. The central bank raised its policy rate from 1% at the start of 2022 to 6% by the middle of 2023, and has held it there since.

Nominal GDP grew by 11% in 2022 and by 6% in 2023. The government's deficit fell from 5% of GDP in 2022 to 3% in 2023, partly because tax revenue, which is collected on nominal incomes and spending, rose faster than the government had budgeted. Public debt stood at 70% of GDP at the end of 2023.

Wages have lagged behind. Average nominal wages rose by 4% in 2022 and by 6% in 2023. Unions argue that workers have not yet recovered the purchasing power they lost, and point to the gap between the cumulative rise in prices and the cumulative rise in wages since the end of 2021. The finance ministry replies that in 2023 wage growth outpaced inflation.

According to the figures in the passage, by roughly how much did average real wages change in 2023?

  1. A.They fell by about 5%.
  2. B.They fell by about 1%.
  3. C.They rose by about 1%.
  4. D.They rose by about 6%.
Show the answer

Answer: C. They rose by about 1%.

Working

In 2023 nominal wages rose by 6% and inflation was 5%. Real change ≈6%−5%=+1%\approx 6\% - 5\% = +1\%. Exactly: 1.061.05≈1.0095\frac{1.06}{1.05} \approx 1.0095, a rise of just under 1%. This matches the ministry's statement that wage growth outpaced inflation in 2023.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. This is roughly the 2022 change: wages up 4% against inflation of 9%.
  • B. Subtracts in the wrong direction. Wages (6%) rose faster than prices (5%), so real wages rose.
  • D. 6% is the nominal rise. It ignores the 5% rise in prices in the same year.

What carries over

Real change is roughly nominal change minus inflation, for the same year.

Question 3: Unions against the ministry

Reading comprehension

Between 2022 and 2024, the economy of Estria went through a sharp swing in prices. Consumer price inflation, which had been 2% in 2021, reached 9% in 2022 before easing to 5% in 2023 and 3% in 2024. The central bank raised its policy rate from 1% at the start of 2022 to 6% by the middle of 2023, and has held it there since.

Nominal GDP grew by 11% in 2022 and by 6% in 2023. The government's deficit fell from 5% of GDP in 2022 to 3% in 2023, partly because tax revenue, which is collected on nominal incomes and spending, rose faster than the government had budgeted. Public debt stood at 70% of GDP at the end of 2023.

Wages have lagged behind. Average nominal wages rose by 4% in 2022 and by 6% in 2023. Unions argue that workers have not yet recovered the purchasing power they lost, and point to the gap between the cumulative rise in prices and the cumulative rise in wages since the end of 2021. The finance ministry replies that in 2023 wage growth outpaced inflation.

Using the figures for 2022 and 2023, which statement about the claims of the unions and the finance ministry is correct?

  1. A.The two claims contradict each other, so one of the figures in the passage must be wrong.
  2. B.Because wages outpaced prices in 2023, workers fully recovered the purchasing power they lost in 2022.
  3. C.The deficit fell in 2023 because wages rose faster than prices.
  4. D.Over the two years, wages rose by about 10% and prices by about 14%, which supports the unions' claim, while the ministry's statement about 2023 is also true.
Show the answer

Answer: D. Over the two years, wages rose by about 10% and prices by about 14%, which supports the unions' claim, while the ministry's statement about 2023 is also true.

Working

Cumulative prices: 1.09×1.05=1.14451.09 \times 1.05 = 1.1445, about 14%. Cumulative wages: 1.04×1.06=1.10241.04 \times 1.06 = 1.1024, about 10%. Wages trail prices over the two years, as the unions say. In 2023 alone, wages (6%) beat inflation (5%), as the ministry says. The claims measure different periods, so both hold.

Why the other options are wrong

  • A. They do not contradict each other: the ministry speaks about one year, 2023; the unions about the cumulative change since the end of 2021. Both can be true.
  • B. One year of a 1% real gain does not undo 2022's fall of about 5%; cumulative wages still trail prices.
  • C. The passage attributes the fall in the deficit partly to tax revenue rising faster than budgeted, not to the gap between wages and prices.

What carries over

When two parties cite the same data, check the period each one measures before deciding who is right.

Key points

  • Falling inflation means prices rise more slowly, not that they fall.

  • A deficit is one year's gap and adds to the debt; the debt ratio also depends on GDP growth.

  • Real change is roughly nominal change minus inflation.

  • Yearly rates compound: multiply the multipliers rather than adding the percentages.

All questions here are original and written for UniExamer; none comes from the test maker.

Written by the UniExamer team with AI assistance. Every worked example and check question was re-solved by an independent checker before publication. No subject expert has reviewed this lesson yet. If you find a mistake, write to support@uniexamer.com.

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